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Macro
Economic Performance
Inflation and deflation
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Tasnim Ullah
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Cards (43)
What is inflation?
Inflation is the sustained rise in the general
price level
over time.
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What happens to the cost of living during inflation?
The cost of living
increases
and the purchasing power of money
decreases.
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What is deflation?
Deflation is the
opposite
of inflation, where the
average
price level in the economy falls.
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What is
disinflation
?
Disinflation is the
falling
rate of inflation, where the average price level is still rising but at a
slower
extent.
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If the price level increases by 4% from 2014 to 2015, what does this indicate?
This indicates
inflation.
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What does a change from 4% to 2% in the price level signify?
This signifies
disinflation
, as the price rise has
slowed.
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What does a change in the price level to -3% indicate?
This indicates
deflation.
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What is the goal of deflationary government policies?
Deflationary government policies aim to
reduce aggregate demand
(AD).
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What are the main causes of inflation?
Demand
pull:
Aggregate
demand grows unsustainably.
Cost
push: Firms face
rising
costs.
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What triggers demand pull inflation?
Triggers include depreciation in the exchange rate, fiscal stimulus, lower interest rates, and high growth in export markets.
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How does a depreciation in the exchange rate affect inflation?
A
depreciation
in the exchange rate makes imports more expensive and
exports cheaper
, causing aggregate demand to rise.
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How does fiscal stimulus contribute to inflation?
Fiscal stimulus
, through lower taxes or increased government spending, gives consumers more
disposable
income, increasing consumer spending.
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What effect do lower interest rates have on inflation?
Lower interest rates make saving less
attractive
and borrowing more
attractive
, leading to increased consumer spending.
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What is cost push inflation?
Cost push inflation occurs when firms face rising costs, leading to
increased prices.
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What can cause
rising
costs for
firms
?
Rising costs
can be caused by changes in
world commodity prices
, higher labor costs, expectations of inflation, indirect taxes, depreciation in the exchange rate, and monopolies.
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How do expectations of inflation affect wages?
If consumers expect prices to rise, they may demand
higher
wages to
compensate
, potentially triggering more inflation.
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How do indirect taxes affect inflation?
Indirect taxes can increase the
cost
of goods, which producers may pass on to
consumers
, raising prices.
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How does a monopoly contribute to inflation?
A
monopoly
can exploit its dominant market position to charge
higher
prices, contributing to inflation.
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What are the effects of inflation on consumers?
Low
and
fixed
income individuals are hit hardest.
The
purchasing power
of money falls.
Loans become
cheaper
in real terms.
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What are the effects of inflation on firms?
Low interest rates
make borrowing attractive.
Higher inflation
may lead to
higher costs
of production.
Unpredictable
inflation reduces business
confidence.
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What are the effects of inflation on the government?
The government must increase state
pensions
and
welfare
payments.
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What are the effects of inflation on workers?
Real
incomes fall, reducing
disposable
income.
Higher costs may lead to
redundancies.
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When did the UK experience a short period of deflation?
The UK experienced a short period of deflation in
April 2015.
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What happens to the real value of money during deflation?
The real value of money
increases
during
deflation.
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How does deflation affect consumer spending?
Deflation
discourages
spending because consumers believe goods will be
cheaper
in the future.
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What are the potential economic consequences of deflation?
Deflation can lead to economic
decline
and increasing rates of
unemployment.
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How does deflation affect the real value of debt?
Deflation makes the real value of debt
higher
, making it
harder
for consumers to pay it off.
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What happens to spending in the economy during deflation?
Spending in the economy
falls
, worsening the effects of a
recession.
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How does deflation affect wages?
Wages are likely to fall during deflation as firms make lower profits.
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What happens to growth and unemployment rates if the real interest rate increases during deflation?
There could be lower growth and worse rates of
unemployment
if the real interest rate
increases.
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What is the real interest rate if the nominal interest rate is 0% and the deflation rate is 5%?
The real interest rate is
5%
.
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What does the Quantity Theory of Money state?
Inflation occurs if the money supply
increases faster
than national
income.
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What is Fisher's equation of exchange?
Fisher's equation of exchange is represented as
M
V
=
MV =
M
V
=
P
Q
PQ
PQ
.
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What do the variables in Fisher's equation represent?
M refers to the supply of money, V is the
velocity of circulation
, P is the price level, and Q is the quantity of
real goods
sold.
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What assumption does the Quantity Theory of Money make about velocity?
The equation assumes that velocity is
constant.
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What does the Quantity Theory of Money argue about the money supply?
The theory argues that
increasing
the money supply causes
inflation.
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What happens when the money supply increases according to the Quantity Theory of Money?
When the money supply
increases
,
consumers
have more money to spend, causing aggregate demand to shift to the right.
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What is the result of increased aggregate demand in the short run?
Firms increase supply in the short run, leading to a
positive output gap
, which is
inflationary.
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What happens to wages as a result of inflationary pressure?
As a result of inflationary pressure,
more
workers are employed, leading to
increased
wages.
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What is the effect of increased wages on firms?
Increased wages lead to
higher costs
for firms, prompting them to raise
prices.
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