Many commentators believed that Callaghan would call an election in 1978. Callaghan enjoyed popularity as PM.
The economy appeared to be recovering but inflation and unemployment still remained high.
Callaghan waited until 1979 to call an election because he hoped the economy would recover further. This was a fateful decision because the Tories won in 1979.
Culminated problems in 1978 led to the Winter of Discontent. Callaghan wanted to extend the Social Contract.
1.4 million people were unemployed in 1978. Inflation was over 10%
Pay increases were limited to 5%. Callaghan couldn't renew the Social Contract as a result.
TUC and the Labour Party dismissed the Social Contract at the 1978 Labour Conference.
Strikes took place as a result of the Social Contract failing. Low-paid public sector workers had been squeezed because of the Contract.
Manufacturing in Britain was in decline in the 1970s. This was Labour's biggest support base.
Manual output fell from 34% to 30% between 1970 and 1977. 2 million jobs were lost as a result.
Labour had been dependent on political support from the Liberals. The 1977 Lib-Lab Pact wasn't renewed.
Labour relied on SNP MPs after the collapse of the Lib-Lab pact. This support come on the condition that Scotland would get some measure of devolution.
The SNP withdrew support from Labour when they lost their devolution referendum. The Labour government was now a minority government.
The Tories called a "vote of no confidence" on the Labour government on 28 March 1979. Labour lost by one vote.
The successful "vote of no confidence" forced Callaghan to call an election.
Labour appeared tired in 1979. The Conservatives appeared buoyant.
Thatcher had proved to be an effective leader since ousting Heath in 1975.
The Tories contacted Saatchi and Saatchi for their 1979 campaign. An example of an effective campaign poster was "LABOUR ISN'T WORKING".
The Tories targeted middle-class voters in their 1979 manifesto. They promised to increase spending on the police and defence.
The Conservatives promised that union reform would take place. This was meant to prevent a repeat of striking.
The Tories spoke to the working class. They wanted to better themselves.
The particular idea of selling council houses to tenants was popular under the working-class.
The New Right and Monetarist economic policies in the Tory manifesto were more controversial. The manifesto could be described as vague.
The Tory manifesto declared the election was about "the future of Britain". This was described as "a great country which seems to have lost its way".