L 3.4

• Frank Notestein - Pointed out a typical pattern of falling death rates and birth rates due to improved living conditions
• Demographic Transition Model - explain connections between population growth and economic development
• Thailand, China, and Columbia - total fertility rate lowered more than half in 20 years
• Morocco, Jamaica, Peru, Mexico - Fertility rates dropped by 30-40% in a signle generation
• Iran - Most successful family planning
• Family Planning gives us a Choice
• Family planning - allows couples to determine the number and spacing of their children
• modern medicine - gives more options for controlling fertility
• injections for men
• vaccines for women
• contraception prevents pregnancy
• What future are we creating now?

  Low

  • World might stabilize below 8 Billion by 2050The world

  Med

  • 9.4 Billion in 45 years

  High

  • 12 Billion midcentury