The constitution doesn't say who has the right to vote and who does not, that was the decision left up to the states
In 1789 when the new constitution became the governing document, the states had decided that only white men who owned property were eligible to vote
By 1830, the franchise was extended to all white men landed or not, much of this pressure came from the west
After the civil war through about 1971, a series of constitutional amendments recognized the right to vote for more and more citizens
Constitutional amendments expanding voting rights
15th amendment - right of black men to vote
17th amendment - people's right to vote for senators
19th amendment - women's right to vote
24th amendment - abolished poll taxes
26th amendment - lowered voting age to 18
Even though constitutionally the franchise is extended to all, some states still erect barriers to voting
Some states have enacted laws limiting certain groups from voting, such as convicted felons
Rational choice voting
A person votes based on their individual self-interest and who has carefully studied the issues and platforms
Retrospective voting
A person votes based on the recent past track record of the politician
Prospective voting
A person votes based on the predictions of how a party or candidate will perform in the future
Party line voting
A person votes for all the candidates of their party
For most of the last century, voter turnout in the US has been relatively low among Western democracies
Structural barriers
Rules, laws, or policies that make it more difficult for a person to exercise their right to vote
States are in charge of federal elections, meaning each state government sets its own election policies including voter registration laws and procedures
Examples of structural barriers
Hours that polls are open
Voter ID laws
Automatic voter registration
Online voter registration
In-person voter registration
Early voting opportunities
Absentee and mail-in voting opportunities
Voter photo ID laws
Stricter election and ID laws
Implemented in more states after the 2020 election
Advocates of voter photo ID laws emphasize the goal to stop voter fraud, while opponents argue the real goal is voter suppression
Differences in funding for polling places and poll workers can lead to long lines that critics claim are designed to dissuade people from voting
Presidential elections have significantly higher voter turnout than midterm elections, with about one-third fewer people voting in midterms
Political efficacy
A person's belief that their vote matters and they can make a difference by participating in the political process
Demographic characteristics that predict likelihood of voting
Older people vote more than younger people
Higher income people vote more than lower income people
More educated people vote more than less educated people
Women vote at higher rates than men
Religious people vote more than non-religious people
The best predictor of how a person will vote is their party identification
Factors that predict how a person will vote
Party identification
Political ideology
Candidate characteristics
Contemporary political issues
Gender
Race and ethnicity
Age
Geographic location
Religion
Midterm elections usually favor the party out of power, with Democrats doing well in 2018 and Republicans doing better in 2022
Democrats dominate urban areas, Republicans dominate rural areas, and the suburbs bounce back and forth between the parties
Voting patterns by religion
White Protestants and white Evangelical Protestants vote strongly Republican
Catholics are basically 50/50
Jewish voters have historically been solidly Democratic, though the numbers are down from peaks
Atheists and agnostics vote overwhelmingly Democratic
Linkage institutions
Channels that allow individuals to communicate their preferences to policymakers
Linkage institutions covered in this unit
Political parties
Interest groups
Elections
News media
Primary goal of a political party
To gain power and win elections
Political parties
Mobilize and educate voters
Establish a platform of policies and goals
Recruit candidates for public office
Manage campaigns and facilitate media strategy
Influence Congress through committee and party leadership systems
More and more voters focus on the individual candidate more than their party, their characteristics, personality, and ideology
The rise of the primary system has weakened the role of party leaders in nominating candidates
Parties may adapt their policies and messaging to appeal to various demographic coalitions
Critical elections
Elections in which some major issue bubbles up and leads to new voter coalitions and to a new majority party for an extended time
The most recent critical election was in 1932 or perhaps 1968, leading to a party realignment
Changes in campaign finance laws have made it easier for candidates to raise their own money, reducing their reliance on the party
Political parties attempt to use big tech, big data, and AI to target their political messaging and mobilize voters
There are other parties besides Democrats and Republicans
Biggest third parties as of 2022
Libertarian party
Green party
Constitution party
There are new Centrist parties trying to appeal to moderate independent voters in 2024 called the Forward party and No Labels