One of the three criteria for establishing causation
Temporal precedence
One of the three criteria for establishing causation
Internal validity
One of the three criteria for establishing causation
Multivariate designs
Involve more than two measured variables
Longitudinal designs help address temporal precedence
Multiple regression analyses help address internal validity
Types of correlations in longitudinal designs
Cross-sectional correlations
Autocorrelations
Cross-lag correlations
Cross-sectional correlations
Test of whether 2 variables measured at the same point in time are correlated
Autocorrelations
Correlation of each variable with itself across time
Cross-lag correlations
Correlation of degree to which an earlier measure of one variable is associated with a later measure of the other variable
Possible patterns in cross-lag correlations
Not significant
One correlation significant, the other flipped
Both correlations significant
Longitudinal designs can provide some evidence for causation by fulfilling three criteria: covariance, temporal precedence, and internal validity
In many cases participants cannot be randomly assigned to a variable, as it may be unethical or people cannot be assigned to preferences
Regression results
Indicate whether a third variable explains the relationship
Beta
Used to test for third variables
Multiple regression is not a foolproof way to rule out all kinds of third variables
Evidence for causality from pattern and parsimony
The longer a person has smoked cigarettes, the greater are the chances of getting cancer
People who stop smoking have lower cancer rates than people who continue smoking
Smokers' cancers tend to be in the lungs and of a particular type
Smokers who use filtered cigarettes have a somewhat lower rate of cancer than smokers of unfiltered cigarettes
People who live with smokers will also have higher rates of cancer because of their passive exposure to the same chemicals
Journalists do not always fairly represent pattern and parsimony, as they often selectively present only part of the scientific process
Mediators
Variables that explain the relationship between a predictor and an outcome variable
Moderators
Variables that affect the strength or direction of the relationship between a predictor and an outcome variable
Four validities in multivariate designs
Internal validity
Construct validity
External validity
Statistical validity
Independent variable (IV)
Manipulated variable in an experiment
Dependent variable (DV)
Measured, outcome variable in an experiment
Control variable
Any variable that an experimenter holds constant
Experiments establish covariance, temporal precedence, and internal validity
Types of groups in experiments
Control group (no treatment condition)
Treatment group(s) (one or more treatment conditions)
Placebo group (placebo control group)
Design confounds are second variables that systematically vary along with the independent variable, providing an alternative explanation for the results
Selection effects occur when there are systematic differences between the groups in an experiment
Independent-groups design
Different groups are placed at different levels of the independent variable
Within-groups design
Each participant is presented with all levels of the independent variable
Posttest-only design
Participants are measured only after the intervention
Pretest/posttest design
Participants are measured before and after the intervention
Repeated-measures design
Each participant experiences all levels of the independent variable
Concurrent-measures design
Each participant experiences all levels of the independent variable at the same time
Order effects occur when being exposed to one condition affects how participants respond to other conditions
Counterbalancing
A technique to avoid order effects by varying the order in which participants experience the conditions
Construct validity refers to how well the variables were measured and manipulated
External validity refers to how well the causal claim can be generalized
Statistical validity refers to the size, precision, and replicability of the effect
Internal validity refers to whether there are alternative explanations for the results
Interaction
The level of one independent variable depends on the level of another independent variable