The number of live births per thousand of the population born per year. The Birth rate has fallen from 28.7 in 1901 to 11.17 in 2024
Total fertility Rate
The average number of children a women will have in her fertile years. The UK's TFR has risen but is still lower than the past. All time low of 1.58 in 2020 to 1.75 in 2024.
Changes in the position of women
Legal equality with men, right to vote
Increased educational opportunities - girl do better in school than boys
Changes in attitude to family life and women's role
Harper 2012
The education of women is the most important reason for the long term fall in birth and fertility rates. A change in mindset for women. Women are now choosing to delay childbearing e.g. 2012 - 1 in 5 women aged 45 was childless.
Children have become an economic liability
Laws banned child labour, compulsory schooling. This means that children remain economically dependent
Cost of bringing up children has risen
As a result of financial pressures parents feel less able or willing than in the past to have a family.
Decline in infant morality rate
Harper argues that a fall in TMR leads to a fall in birth rate, because if many infants die parents have more children to replace those ones they have lost.
Brass and Kabir argue that the trend to smaller families began not in rural areas but urban areas
Decline in infant morality rate
In 1900, the TMR for the UK was 154, Over 15% of babies died within the first year. It began to fall due to improved housing, better sanitation + nutrition, improved services for mothers etc.
Child-Centredness
Increasing childcentredness both of the family and of society as a whole means that childhood is now socially constructed.
In terms of family size, this has encouraged a shift from 'quantity' to 'quality' - Parents lavish more attention and resources on their few children.
Summary
More women are remaining childless than in the past and women have children later (average age for giving birth is now 30.7) and they may be less fertile and produce less children.
Future trends
Birth rates, fertility rates and family sizes have fallen over the last century, but there has been a slight increase in births since 2001.
A reason for this is increased immigration. Mothers outside the UK have a higher fertile rate
The annual number of births should be fairly constant up to 2041 at around 800,000