Cards (46)

  • Traditionally business decision have been based on subjective factors - considering factors that are present during that day
  • Formal study of mathematics to make management decisions began in twentieth century.
  • Quantitative analysis
    refers to numeric data analysis, modeling, and mathematical calculations
  • Quantitative analysis helps sectors in decision-making problems in business, government, health care, and education.
  • QUANTITATIVE DATA ANALYSIS

    Scientific approach to managerial decision making - no whim, emotion, and guesswork.
    • The heart of QA is processing and manipulating of raw data into meaningful information.
  • QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS
    A) raw data
    B) quantitative analysis
    C) meaningful information
  • Involves the investigation of factors in  a decsion-making problem that cannot be quantified.
  • Quantitative factors
    measurable ones like investment alternatives, interest rates, inventory levels, demand, or labor cost
  • Qualitative factors

    cannot quantify  such as weather condition, state and federal legislation, the outcome of an election, technology breakthroughs
  • Qualitative factors

    may be difficult to quantify but may affect decision-making
  • In most cases, quantitative analysis will be an aid to the decision-making process
  • The results will be combined with other (qualitative) information in making the final decisions.
  • TYPES OF DATA
    1. Alphanumeric
    2. Text
    3. Image
    4. Audio
  • Alphanumeric
    combination of numbers and letters
  • Text
    sentences and paragraphs used in written communication
  • Image
    graphics, shapes, figures, etc
  • Audio
    human voice and other sounds
  • QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS APPROACH
    A) Defining the problem
    B) Developing a model
    C) Acquiring input data
    D) Developing a solution
    E) Testing the solution
    F) Analyzing the results
    G) Implementing results
  • Defining the problem
     a clear and concise statement of the problem that gives direction and meaning to the subsequent steps.
  • Defining the problem
    Most important and difficult step. It is essential to go beyond the symptoms of the problem and identify true causes.
  • If the problem is difficult to quantify, specific and measurable objectives may have to be developed
    • Possible in defining a problem:
    1. Conflicting viewpoints
    2. Impact on other Departments
    3. Beginning assumptions
    4. Solution outdated
  • Developing a model
    quantitative models are realistic, solvable, and understandable mathematical representations of a situation.
  • Developing a model
    • Mathematic models
    • Scale models
    • Schematic models
  • Problem in developing a model:
    1. Fitting the model textbooks
    2. Undestanding the model
  •  Acquiring Input Data
     input data must be obtained for the model to make it useful and they must be accurate
  • GIGO rule
    A) garbage in
    B) process
    C) garbage out
    • Data may come from a variety of sources such as company reports, company documents, interviews, on-site direct measurement, or statistical sampling
  • Developing a Solution
    the best (optimal) solution to a problem is found by manipulating the model until a solution is found that is practical and can be implemented.
  • Common techniques for developing solution are:
    1. Solving equations
    2. Trial and Error - trying various approaches and picking the best result
    3. Complete enumeration - trying all possible values
    4. Using an algorithm - series of repeating steps to reach a solution
  • Input data and model determine the accuracy of the solution
    • There are two potential roadblocks that quantitative analytics face 
    1. Hard to understand mathematics
    2. Only 1 answer is limiting
  • Hard to understand mathematics - mathematics always shuns as lot of people even managers.
  • Only 1 answer is limiting - QA models tend to give one solution to a problem. One way to offset this is to come up with alternative scenarios or sensitivities to give managers options to choose from
  • Testing the Solution
    both input data and the model should be tested for accuracy before the solution can be analyzed and implemented
  • Testing the Solution
    Collect additional data from a different source  to validate the accuracy of both model and model input.
  • Results should be logical, consistent, and represent the real situation.
  • Analyzing the results
    determine the implications of the solution
  • Implementing the results often requires actions and changes in an organization