Globalisation is the process of countries becoming more interdependent and more integrated.
What are the key aspects of globalisation?
trade to GDP ratios are rising for most countries
big expansion of Financial Capital Flows between countries.
rise in Foreign Direct Investment and Cross Border M&A (mergers and takevovers)
rise of global brands - including many from emerging countries
deeper specialisation
What is the definition of the balance of payments?
Records all financial transactions of a country. It shows the receipts from trade.
What is meant by inflows of foreign currency?
They are counted as a positive entry (e.g. exports sold overseas).
What is meant by outflows of foreign currency?
They are counted as a negative entry (e.g. imported goods and services)
What are the 3 components of the balance of payments?
current account
capital account
financial account
What is the account that we need to know in detail?
The current account.
What are the items in the current account of the BOP?
net trade balance in goods
net trade balance in services
net money transfers
net investment income from overseas assets
What is to be included in the net trade balance of goods?
finished manufactured goods, components, raw materials
energy products, capital technology
What is to be included in the net trade balance of services?
banking, insurance, consultancy
tourism, transport, logistics
shipping, education, health
research cultural arts
What is included in the net money transfers?
overseas aid/debt relief
private money transfers e.g. from migrants
What is included in the net investment income from overseas assets?
profits, interest and dividends from investments in other countries e.g. the profits from transactional businesses.
What is a surplus in the current account?
A surplus is when the value of exports of goods, services, investment income and transfers is greater than imports.
What is a deficit in the current account?
A deficit is when the export of goods, services andinvestmentincome and transports is less than imports.
What is SPICED?
Strong
Pound
Imports
Cheaper
Exports
Dearer
What is WPIDEC?
Weak
Pound
Imports
Dearer
Exports
Cheaper
What are some worries with a current account deficit (part 1)?
foreign investment will lose confidence in investing in our economy.
. However, we have the financial sector to fall back on.
displays signs of over-reliance so in a crisis where we cannot import from other countries, we are isolated and will struggle producing for ourselves.
. However, if a weather cries happened, it may not affect the production of goods in our economy to the same extent as other countries.
What are some worries with a current account deficit (part 2)?
lack of demotic comfort to fall back on
. However,
can be a sign of uncompetitive, which leads to lower economic growth and poorer prospects in the long run
. However, could grow wealth in the long run if we invest in overseas assets intelligently.
if it keeps growing over time, it could become unsustainable and harder to finance
. However, it can also be financed by long-term investment, which improves productive capacity.
What are some worries of a current account deficit (part 3)?
it is a sign of an unbalanced economy (too specialised)
. However, in an era of globalisation, financial flows are easier to attract and therefore, the deficit is financed by these capital inflows.
foreigners have greater claim on domestic assets
. Domestic country may benefit from this e.g. Chinese investment in Africa.
What are some worries with a current account deficit (part 4)?
it may indicate unbalanced economy - focused on short-term consumption rather than long term investment in export sector.
. However, a current account deficit can enable the economy to have higher standards of living.
large deficit could cause depreciation in exchange rate and cost-push inflation.
. However, a moderate depreciation would help restore competitiveness.
When does a current account deficit tend to increase and why?
In the uk, a current account deficit often increases after a period of economic growth. This is because Higher economic growth leads to higher consumer spending and therefore, more spending on imports.
What are some effects of a current account deficit?
leakage from the circular flow - AD diminished
may cause a depreciation in the exchange rate
foreigners will own more domestic assets
sign of uncompetitive exports
enables higher levels of consumption
This depends on the situation.
What does the term ‘current account of the balance of payments mean’?
The total value of exports minus the total value of imports in one year.