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AP Statistics
Unit 9: Inference for Quantitative Data: Slopes
9.2 Confidence Intervals for the Slope of a Regression Model
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In a linear regression model, the slope is often denoted by
b_1
Confidence intervals provide a measure of the
uncertainty
around the estimated slope.
If \(b_1 = 2\), it means for every one-unit increase in \(X\), \(Y\) is expected to increase by
2
The standard error of the slope measures the
variability
of the estimated slope in a linear regression model.
What does the standard error of the slope measure in a linear regression model?
Variability of the estimated slope
What is the total squared deviations of the X values in the formula for the standard error of the slope?
∑
(
X
i
−
X
ˉ
)
2
\sum (X_{i} - \bar{X})^{2}
∑
(
X
i
−
X
ˉ
)
2
The residual standard deviation is calculated as:
s
What is the formula for the degrees of freedom in a linear regression model?
d
f
=
df =
df
=
n
−
2
n - 2
n
−
2
Match the element with its description:
Degrees of Freedom (df) ↔️
n
−
2
n - 2
n
−
2
Confidence Level ↔️ Typically 95% or 90%
Critical Value ↔️ Obtained from t-distribution table
What does the slope (
b
1
b_{1}
b
1
) represent in a linear regression model?
Change in Y for each X
What do confidence intervals measure in a linear regression model?
Uncertainty around the estimated slope
Confidence intervals are a range of plausible values for an unknown
parameter
What does a confidence interval quantify in linear regression?
The precision of the slope
The formula for the standard error of the slope is
SE(b_1)
If s = 1.5 and ∑(X_i−Xˉ)² = 20, the standard error of the slope is approximately
0.335
The standard error of the slope is calculated using the formula:
SE(b_1)
What does \(\sum (X_i - \bar{X})^2\) represent in the formula for the standard error of the slope?
Total squared deviations of X values
How are degrees of freedom calculated in a linear regression model?
d
f
=
df =
df
=
n
−
2
n - 2
n
−
2
What formula is used to calculate the standard error of the slope (\(SE(b_1)\))?
s
∑
(
X
i
−
X
ˉ
)
2
\frac{s}{\sqrt{\sum (X_{i} - \bar{X})^{2}}}
∑
(
X
i
−
X
ˉ
)
2
s
Degrees of freedom in a
linear regression
model are calculated as \(n-2\).
True
If \(b_1 = 2.5\), \(SE(b_1) = 0.4\), and \(t_{\alpha/2} = 2.086\), the 95% confidence interval for the slope is
[1.72, 3.28]
What does the sign of \(b_1\) indicate in a linear regression model?
Positive or negative relationship
What is one purpose of a confidence interval for the slope?
Quantify the precision
What is one purpose of a confidence interval for the slope?
Estimate the true slope
What is the formula to calculate the standard error of the slope?
S
E
(
b
1
)
=
SE(b_{1}) =
SE
(
b
1
)
=
s
∑
(
X
i
−
X
ˉ
)
2
\frac{s}{\sqrt{\sum (X_{i} - \bar{X})^{2}}}
∑
(
X
i
−
X
ˉ
)
2
s
The standard error of the slope is calculated using the formula:
s
If \(s = 1.5\) and
∑
(
X
i
−
X
ˉ
)
2
=
\sum (X_{i} - \bar{X})^{2} =
∑
(
X
i
−
X
ˉ
)
2
=
20
20
20
, then \(SE(b_1) \approx 0.335\)
True
What distribution is used to determine critical values for the slope in a linear regression model?
t-distribution
Critical values from the t-distribution are denoted as:
t_\alpha/2
What is the primary purpose of confidence intervals for the slope in a linear regression model?
Estimate the true slope
The regression equation in a linear regression model is
Y
=
Y =
Y
=
b
0
+
b_{0} +
b
0
+
b
1
X
+
b_{1} X +
b
1
X
+
ϵ
\epsilon
ϵ
True
Purposes of a confidence interval for the slope
1️⃣ Estimate the true slope in the population
2️⃣ Quantify the precision of the estimate
What is the purpose of a confidence interval for the slope in linear regression?
Estimate the true slope
A narrow confidence interval indicates a more precise estimate of the
slope
A confidence interval that includes 0 suggests the true slope may be zero, indicating no
linear relationship
between X and Y.
True
In the formula for the standard error of the slope, what does 's' represent?
Residual standard deviation
What is the formula for the residual standard deviation 's'?
s = \sqrt{\frac{\sum (Y_i - \hat{Y}_i)^2}{n - 2}}</latex>
What is the formula to calculate the standard error of the slope?
SE(b_1) = \frac{s}{\sqrt{\sum (X_i - \bar{X})^2}}</latex>
If \(s = 1.5\) and \(\sum (X_i - \bar{X})^2 = 20\), the standard error of the slope is approximately
0.335
The confidence interval for the slope (\(b_1\)) is calculated as \(b_1 \pm t_{\alpha/2} \cdot SE(b_1)\).
True
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