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AP Statistics
Unit 7: Inference for Quantitative Data: Means
7.3 Justifying a Claim Based on a Confidence Interval for a Population Mean
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What is a confidence interval for a population mean?
Range of confident values
The margin of error is affected by both the standard deviation and the
sample size
.
True
A 95% confidence interval for the mean weight of apples (145g,
155g
) means we are 95% confident the true mean weight lies within this range.
True
Increasing the sample size reduces the
margin of error
.
True
A confidence interval helps quantify the uncertainty around a
sample estimate
.
True
What effect does a larger standard deviation have on the margin of error in a confidence interval?
Increases the margin of error
What does the critical value in a confidence interval determine?
Width of the interval
What does the confidence level in a confidence interval represent?
Probability of true mean
What does a 90% confidence interval of (10, 12) indicate?
True mean is in (10, 12)
Which distribution is used when the population standard deviation (σ) is known?
z-distribution
What is the formula for calculating the margin of error when σ is unknown?
E
=
E =
E
=
t
∗
t *
t
∗
s
n
\frac{s}{\sqrt{n}}
n
s
The coverage of a confidence interval is the probability that the interval contains the true population
mean
Match the confidence level with its approximate critical value:
90% ↔️ 1.645
95% ↔️ 1.96
99% ↔️ 2.576
What does the margin of error measure?
Uncertainty around sample mean
The critical value in a confidence interval determines the width of the
interval
If the population standard deviation is known, the margin of error is calculated using the
z
-distribution
A larger sample size reduces the margin of error in a
confidence interval
.
True
The sample mean is the average value from the
sample data
Common confidence levels include 90%, 95%, and
99%
A 99% confidence interval is wider than a
90%
confidence interval for the same data.
True
The t-distribution is used when the population standard deviation (σ) is
unknown
The confidence interval is calculated as the sample mean plus or minus the
margin of error
One-tailed intervals are appropriate when testing a specific
directional
hypothesis.
If a 95% confidence interval for the mean weight of apples is (145g, 155g), we are 95% confident the true mean lies between
145g
and 155g.
Match the confidence level with its impact on interval width:
90% ↔️ Narrower
95% ↔️ Medium
99% ↔️ Wider
Match the confidence level with its impact on the interval width:
90% ↔️ Narrower
95% ↔️ Medium
99% ↔️ Wider
Steps for calculating confidence intervals:
1️⃣ Choose the appropriate distribution
2️⃣ Calculate the margin of error
3️⃣ Construct the confidence interval
Two-tailed confidence intervals are more commonly used because they make fewer assumptions about the direction of the difference between means.
True
If the sample mean is within the confidence interval, the claim that the population mean is equal to the sample mean is
justified
What is the primary purpose of using a confidence interval to justify a claim about a population mean?
Compare claimed value to interval
Order the following confidence levels from smallest to largest critical value:
1️⃣ 90%
2️⃣ 95%
3️⃣ 99%
The margin of error is calculated using the z-value when the population standard deviation is
known
.
Match the component of a confidence interval with its definition:
Margin of Error ↔️ Range added to sample mean
Confidence Level ↔️ Probability interval contains true mean
Critical Value ↔️ Determines interval width
What happens to the critical value as the confidence level increases?
Increases
When should the standard normal (z-distribution) be used in calculating confidence intervals?
When σ is known
Why are two-tailed intervals more commonly used than one-tailed intervals?
They make fewer assumptions
What happens to the margin of error when the sample size decreases?
Increases
What are common confidence levels used in statistics?
90%, 95%, and 99%
As the confidence level increases, the margin of error
increases
Arrange the factors affecting the margin of error in order of their impact:
1️⃣ Standard Deviation (Increases)
2️⃣ Sample Size (Decreases)
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