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Theme 2: Managing Business Activities
2.2 Financial Planning
2.2.1 Sales Forecasting
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What is the definition of sales forecasting?
Estimating future sales
Sales forecasting involves analyzing historical data and current market
trends
Sales forecasting aims to provide
accurate
estimates for better financial planning.
What are two key benefits of sales forecasting?
Inventory management, resource allocation
Sales forecasting can be qualitative or
quantitative
Match the forecasting method with its description:
Qualitative ↔️ Relies on expert opinion and subjective judgment.
Quantitative ↔️ Uses statistical models and historical data.
Qualitative forecasting is useful when
historical data
is scarce.
What is a weakness of quantitative forecasting?
May not account for unexpected events
Sales forecasting is crucial for financial
planning
Sales forecasting helps optimize stock levels to reduce
overstocking
and stockouts.
How does accurate sales forecasting enhance profitability?
Improves cost control and maximizes revenue
Match the forecasting method with its key input:
Qualitative ↔️ Expert opinions and market surveys
Quantitative ↔️ Historical sales data and market trends
The Delphi method gathers opinions from a panel of experts anonymously and
iteratively
What does the sales force composite method rely on to forecast sales?
Customer interactions
Qualitative forecasting is objective and data-driven.
False
The regression equation used in quantitative forecasting is
y
=
y =
y
=
a
x
+
ax +
a
x
+
b
b
b
, where
y
y
y
represents the forecasted sales
What is the definition of sales forecasting?
Estimating future sales
Sales forecasting aims for accurate estimates to improve financial
planning
What are the two main methods of sales forecasting?
Qualitative and quantitative
Qualitative forecasting relies on statistical models and historical data.
False
What is a key strength of quantitative forecasting?
Objective and data-driven
Sales forecasting helps businesses create realistic
budgets
Match the benefit of sales forecasting with its description:
Budgeting ↔️ Estimates future revenue
Inventory Management ↔️ Reduces overstocking
Production Planning ↔️ Aligns schedules with demand
Order the following qualitative forecasting techniques from least to most data-driven:
1️⃣ Executive Opinion
2️⃣ Sales Force Composite
3️⃣ Market Surveys
4️⃣ Delphi Method
Which qualitative technique compiles forecasts from individual sales representatives?
Sales Force Composite
The Delphi method mitigates group bias by anonymously sharing
expert
opinions.
What do quantitative forecasting techniques rely on to predict future sales?
Historical data and models
Time series models analyze time-ordered sales data to identify trends, seasonality, and
cycles
What is the purpose of moving averages in forecasting?
Smoothing time series data
Moving averages account for seasonality and external factors.
False
What is the goal of time series analysis?
Identify data patterns
Match the component of time series analysis with its description:
Trend ↔️ Long-term increase or decrease
Seasonality ↔️ Regular variations within a year
Random Variation ↔️ Unpredictable fluctuations
What is the primary goal of sales forecasting?
Accurate estimates
Quantitative forecasting uses statistical models and historical
data
Qualitative forecasting is useful when
historical data
is scarce.
Match the forecasting method with its key input:
Qualitative ↔️ Expert opinions
Quantitative ↔️ Statistical models
Quantitative forecasting requires sufficient
data
Qualitative forecasting is biased but data-driven.
False
What is an example of a statistical model used in quantitative forecasting?
Regression equation
Accurate sales forecasts ensure realistic budget
creation
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