The process of choosing the best option from multiple alternatives to achieve a goal
Decision making
Involves evaluating available options, considering relevant information and factors, and selecting the option that aligns with objectives
Is a process, not just a simple act of choosing among alternatives
Is a fundamental aspect of management and is essential for individuals and organizations to address challenges, seize opportunities, and navigate uncertainties
Decision
A choice made between two or multiple choices
Problem
An obstacle that makes it difficult to achieve a desired goal or purpose
8 Steps to Decision Making
1. Identifying A Problem
2. Identifying Decision Criteria
3. Allocating Weights to the Criteria
4. Developing Alternatives
5. Analyzing Alternatives
6. Selecting an Alternative
7. Implementing an alternative
8. Evaluating Decision Effectiveness
Managers as decision-makers
Making decisions is especially significant to managers
Managers are referred to as decision-makers when they organize, lead, coordinate, and supervise
How managers make decisions
Rationality
Bounded rationality
Intuition
Evidence-based management
Crowdsourcing
Rationality
Describes choices that are logical and consistent and maximize value
Bounded rationality
Decision making that's rational, but limited by an individual's ability to process information
Intuition
The process of selecting choices based on feelings, experience, and collected knowledge
Evidence-based management
Systematic use of the best available evidence to improve management practice
Crowdsourcing
Using the Internet, social media, and smartphone apps to access individuals with diverse abilities and perspectives from around the globe while saving time and money
Structured and programmed decisions
Procedure
Rule
Policy
Procedure
A set of sequential actions that a manager takes in order to address an organized issue
Rule
A straightforward order that informs a manager of what is acceptable and unacceptable
Policy
A set of guidelines used to make decisions
Unstructured and nonprogrammed decisions
Uncommon problems with insufficient or unclear information, requiring original solutions
Decision making styles
Linear
Nonlinear
Linear style
The ability to use information from outside sources, such as data and statistics, and to process this knowledge using logic and deductive reasoning to support decisions
Nonlinear style
The ability to use internal sources (feelings and intuition) and the interpretation of this data to inform choices and actions using internal knowledge, feelings, and hunches
Decision-making biases and errors
Overconfidence bias
Gratification bias
Anchoring effect
Selective-perception bias
Confirmation bias
Framing bias
Availability bias
Representation bias
Randomness bias
Sunk costs error
Self serving bias
Hindsight bias
Overconfidence bias
When those in charge have a tendency to believe they know more than they actually do or to have exaggeratedly high expectations for their own abilities and performance
Gratification bias
Decision-makers with a tendency to seek out immediate benefits
Anchoring effect
How decision makers fixate on initial information as a starting point and then, once set, fail to adequately adjust for subsequent (following) information
Selective-perception bias
When people in positions of authority arrange and interpret events in a biased way because of their preconceived notions
Confirmation bias
Individuals who make decisions by looking for data to support their prior decisions and ignoring data that challenges such decisions
Framing bias
When those making decisions pick out and emphasize some parts of a scenario while leaving out others
Availability bias
Occurs when people who make decisions have a tendency to recall the most recent events from their memories
Representation bias
When decision-makers evaluate an event's likelihood by comparing it to other events or groups of similar occurrences
Randomness bias
The acts of those who attempt to give meaning to seemingly random occurrences
Sunk costs error
When people making decisions fail to realize that decisions made in the past cannot be undone
Self serving bias
Decision-makers who are eager to claim credit for their accomplishments and blame failure on uncontrollable circumstances
Hindsight bias
It is common for decision-makers to think, after the fact, that they were able to correctly forecast how an event would turn out
Cutting Edge Approach
The most recent and innovative in a field with many applications
Design Thinking
A user-centric, solution-based approach to problem solving that can be described in four stages: Clarify, Ideate, Develop, Implement
Big Data AI
Artificial intelligence and data are coming together to form a mutually beneficial relationship in which data is needed for AI to function and vice versa
Benefits of Big Data AI
Enhanced Productivity
Improved Decision Making
Fairness and bias
Informal planning
Getting together to talk about short-term objectives that staff members can strive for over the next few weeks
Formal planning
The management group debating and formulating precise short- and long-term objectives that staff members can regularly strive for
Planning
Involves defining the organization's goals, establishing strategies for achieving those goals, and developing plans to integrate and coordinate work activity