World's current population: estimated at 7 billion (World Bank)
China (1.3 billion) and India (1.2 billion) together comprise about 1/3 of the global population
Major population concentrations: East Asia, Northeast America, South Asia, Western Europe
60 % of the world's population lives within 60 miles of the ocean
High population areas have high soil fertility, and tend to have mild climates
World is becoming more urban: about 50% population reside in urban areas
Factors influencing population distribution
Physical factors: climate, landforms, water bodies
Human factors: culture, economics, history, politics
Ecumene
The habitable parts of the world
Scales of analysis for population distribution
Global: in the world
Regional: in Southwest Asia
National: in Syria
Local: in Aleppo
Methods for calculating population density
Arithmetic population density: measure of the number of people within a given area divided by the total land area
Physiologic population density: measure of the number of people per arable (farmable) land
Agricultural population density: measure of the number of farmers per arable land
Population density
Egypt: 182 persons per square mile
Japan: 879 persons per square mile
Physiologic population density
Egypt: 9,064 persons per arable land
Japan: 7,944 persons per arable land
Population distribution and population density
Affect political, economic, and social processes
Population distribution and population density
Affect the environment
Carrying capacity
The number of people an area can sustain without critically straining its resources
Scales of analysis for age structure and sex ratio
Global: in the world
Regional: in East Asia
National: in China
Local: in rural areas
Population pyramid
Provides a visual representation of a population in terms of age and sex as well as a good indication of the dependency ratio within a country and is used to assess population growth and decline and to predict markets for goods/services
Population pyramid shapes representing growth
Rapid growth: distinguished by a wide base
Stable/slow growth: characterized by a rectangular shape
Declining/negative growth: the base is smaller than previous cohorts
Disrupted growth: significant gaps in the pyramid, usually as a result of war, strict population policies, or other drastic events
Total fertility rate (TFR)
The average number of children a woman will have during her childbearing years (15-49)
Birth rate
Number of live births in a single year for every 1000 people (in a population)
Replacement fertility level
2.1 (slightly higher than 2.0 to account for infant/childhood mortality/childless women)
Mortality (death) rate
Number of deaths in a single year for every 1000 people (in a population)
Infant mortality rate
Number of deaths during the 1st year of life (per 1000)
Child mortality rate
Number of deaths of between the ages of 1 and 5 (per 1000)
Maternal mortality rate
Number of deaths during or shortly after childbirth (per 100,000)
Migration
Involves a degree of permanence when moving to a new locale
Emigration (out migration)
Describes movement out of a particular place
Immigration (in migration)
Describes movement to a particular place
Transnational migration
Migration across national boundaries
Internal migration
Migration within national boundaries
Natural increase
Birth rate minus death rate
Population doubling time
The length of time for a population to double in size
Factors influencing fertility, mortality, and migration rates
Social: gender empowerment, attitudes about family planning, contraception, marrying age and family size
Political: government policies, gender empowerment, conflicts/war
Economic: MDC/LDC, education level, employment opportunity, nutrition, health care, gender empowerment
Demographic Transition Model
Describes the relationship between population and the development of a country and can be used to explain population change over time
Stages of Demographic Transition Model
Stage 1: pre-industrialization (no industries) - birth rates are high & death rates are high = low population growth
Stage 2: developing country (industrializing) - birth rates are high & death rates begin to drop = population increases
Stage 3: developing country (industrializing) - birth rates begin to drop and death rates drop = population levels off
Stage 4: developed country (post industrialization) - birth rates are low and death rates are low = population stabilizes
Stage 5: developed country (post industrialization) - birth rates are very low and death rates are low = population declines
Issues with Demographic Transition Model: it describes the demographic history of Europe (England) and may not necessarily work outside of this region
Epidemiologic transition (mortality revolution)
Increase in population due to medical innovation (modern medicine) causing a decrease in the death rate
Population explosion
The very great and continuing increase in human population in modern times
In the past 200 years: an increase of more than 5.5 billion people, world population is projected to reach approximately 9 billion by 2050
Thomas Malthus (1798)
Argued that the size and growth of a population depends on the food supply and agricultural methods AND when there is an insufficient supply of food, people die
Ester Boserup (1965)
Theorized that people will find ways to increase food production and improve agricultural methods in times of pressure
Population policies
Pro-natalist: policies that provide incentives for women to have children, typically in countries with declining populations
Anti-natalist: policies that encourage couples to limit the number of children they have
Immigration: policies that address the movement of persons across borders
Factors that have reduced fertility rates in most parts of the world
Changing social, economic, and political roles for females - changing social values (role of women/gender empowerment), access to education, employment, political empowerment, health care and contraception