A mathematical description of the relationship between a cost item and the underlying cost driver
Cost driver
Any variable that affects the cost level of a particular cost object in a given time span
Approaches to assess cost drivers
1. Look for physical relationships
2. Look for contractual relationships
3. Look for logical relationships
Cost function
Describes the relationship between output (independent variable) and cost (dependent variable)
Typical shapes of cost functions
Proportional
Degressive
Progressive
Regressive
Proportional cost function
Total cost increases, average cost decreases, variable cost increases, fixed cost is constant
Degressive cost function
Total cost increases at a decreasing rate, average cost decreases, variable cost increases at a decreasing rate, fixed cost is constant
Progressive cost function
Total cost increases at an increasing rate, average cost first decreases then increases, variable cost increases at an increasing rate, fixed cost is constant
Production function
Determines input quantities consumed
Cost function
Determines costs based on input quantities and prices
Production function
Provides information on production-related cost drivers like production capacity and production process
In business practice, cost management works via physical inputs, while cost estimation and forecasting is often done directly via statistical methods
Cost management
Works via physical inputs: costs are influenced by changing input quantities / mix of inputs / suppliers for different inputs, replacing inputs, etc.
Cost estimation and cost forecasting
Often done directly (without referring to production functions) via statistical methods
Cost management process
1. Select the cost item and the cost driver
2. Assess the cost elasticity
3. Determine the amount of cost that is fixed
Production function
Provides essential information on the production-related cost drivers of the company: production capacity, production process, production technology, depth of vertical integration
Changing production-related cost drivers
Changes the production function – and ultimately also the cost function
Relevant range of a cost function
The section showing a linear relationship between output and cost
Cost elasticity
The degree to which costs change due to an underlying change in the activity level
Types of cost behaviour
Fixed
Proportional
Degressive
Progressive
Regressive
Cost stickiness
The tendency of a cost item to remain at its current level even when the underlying cost driver volume is reduced
Learning curve
Describes how the quantity of a particular input that is required for one additional unit of output changes if the total numbers of output units is increased
Technology progress ratio
Describes the new unit cost that would be expected following a doubling in output
Learning curves lead to degressive cost functions, i.e. the marginal cost is decreasing with increasing output
Technology progress ratio - the renewable energy example
There are different approaches available for estimating the function relationship between a cost driver and the resulting cost level
Source: IRENA (2020): Renewable Power Generation Costs in 2019, p. 39
Prof. Dr. Andreas Taschner, ESB Business School, Hochschule Reutlingen, Alteburgstraße 150, 72762 Reutlingen, www.reutlingen-university.de, T. +49 (0)7121 271-3027, F. +49 (0)7121 271-903027, andreas.taschner@reutlingen-university.de
Methods of estimating cost
1. Select the cost item and the cost driver
2. Assess the cost elasticity
3. Determine the amount of cost that is fixed
There are different approaches available for estimating the function relationship between a cost driver and the resulting cost level.
Cost estimation methods
Heuristics
Conference method
Account analysis
Scatterplots
High-low method
Regression analysis
Physical measurement & causal analysis
Heuristics
They express general wisdom or rules of thumb developed during one's own professional activity
Heuristics
Rules are of limited help in complex situations
Rules are easy to understand and remember
Conference Method
It combines individual judgments of several subject-matter experts to arrive at a consensus on the cost pattern
Conference Method
Fostering of cooperation across functions and higher acceptance among decision makers
Subjective estimate that runs the risk of misinterpretation and misjudgment
Account Analysis Method
The estimation of the cost function can be drawn on the set of different accounts a company uses to track its cost types
Account Analysis Method
Analysis can be performed in a more detailed and reliable manner
Not always suitable since a comprehensive set of cost accounts is required