A relationship between two variables where they co-vary, but does not necessarily imply causation
Causation
A relationship where one variable directly causes changes in another variable
Requirements for a causal claim
Covariation: cause and effect are related
Temporal Precedence: cause comes before effect
Elimination of confounds: no alternative causes
Correlation does not equal causation
Number of bars in New York City
Number of churches
Spurious correlation: A correlation where variables co-vary but are not causally related
Things that can cause spurious relationships: chance, third variable problem
Internal validity is sometimes called the third variable problem
Without an experiment, you cannot tell whether two variables covary due to a causal relationship or spurious correlation
Program evaluation
A type of research that aims to assess whether a program or intervention successfully changes behaviour or works as intended
Program evaluation examples
PSA: seatbelt campaigns
Workplace programs: employee retention
Behavior modification: token economies
Learning and teaching outcomes: LSAT prep classes, training, tutoring, driving school
To determine whether a driving prep course helps people pass the driving exam, you could compare the driving test scores or prep rates of those who took the prep course with those who did not take the course
Internal Validity
The degree to which changes in the dependent variable can be attributed to the independent variable, rather than to another variable (i.e., confounding variables)
Confounding variable
An extraneous variable that offers an alternative explanation for the observed differences
Confounding design: When the confound varies systematically with the independent variable (true confound)
Possible confounds in driving prep course example
Motivation
Money
Education
Awareness of course
Experimental designs
Involve the (1) manipulation of an independent variable (IV)
Participants are (2) randomly assigned to different levels (conditions) of the IV
The researcher then measures the dependent variable (DV) and (3) compares the different levels of the IV to see if they differ on the DV
Independent Variable (IV)
What the researcher directly manipulates to determine its influence on people's behaviour (the DV)
Dependent Variable (DV)
A response or behaviour that is measured
Levels
Values that an independent variable can take
Treatment group
The participants in an experiment who are exposed to the independent variable level that involves the medication, treatment, or intervention
Control group
The participants in the experiment who serve as a comparison to the treatment group. They receive a neutral or "no treatment"
Random assignment
A process by which participants are placed into different levels of the IV, and each participant has an equal chance of being in any condition
Selection effects
When participants in the control group differ from the treatment group before any treatments or manipulations
Random assignment eliminates group differences and is the only way to ensure groups are equal
Matched-groups design
Participants are matched with other participants based on some important variable, and the individuals in those pairs are then randomly assigned into groups
Quasi experiment
Where one grouping variable cannot be randomly assigned
Without full random assignment, it is impossible to make a full causal claim
Random assignment works; it always works (long term)
After collecting the data, you need to determine if the levels of the IV differ from each other on the DV by comparing the means of the different levels
The three requirements for a causal claim (covariation, temporal precedence, eliminating alternative explanations) are all checked in an experiment
Options for driving prep course experiment
Option 1: Two levels of IV (take course, don't take course)
Option 2: Three levels of IV (take course, no course, study alone)