In a small village, there is a local fish pond that the villagers depend on for food. The pond starts off with a dozen fish, and the fish reproduce - for every two fish, there will be one baby added each night.
To maximize food supply from the fish pond
1. Catch one fish each day
2. Leave eight fish to reproduce overnight
3. The pond will be fully restocked with twelve fish the next day
If anyone takes more than one fish, the number of reproductive pairs drops, and the population won't be able to bounce back. Eventually, the fish in the lake will be gone, leaving all four villagers to starve.
Tragedy of the commons
A classic problem where many individuals all share a limited resource, and short-term self-interest leads to overuse and depletion of the resource, resulting in negative outcomes for everyone
Economist William Forster Lloyd first described the tragedy of the commons in a discussion of the overgrazing of cattle on village common areas
1833
Ecologist Garrett Hardin revived the concept of the tragedy of the commons
More than 100 years later
Tragedy of the commons
It provides an opportunity for an individual to benefit him or herself while spreading out any negative effects across the larger population
It pits short-term self-interest against the common good
Tragedy of the commons
Overuse of antibiotics
Pollution from coal-fired power plants
Littering
Water shortages
Deforestation
Traffic jams
Purchase of bottled water
Human civilization has proven it's capable of solving the tragedy of the commons by forming social contracts, making communal agreements, electing governments, and passing laws.
When the tragedy of the commons applies, what's good for all of us is good for each of us.
The earth supports society which is driven by economy
Not all countries on the planet impact the environment in the same way
The northern hemisphere produces more carbon dioxide from burning fossil fuels compared to the southern hemisphere
Carbon dioxide levels drop in the summer
Leaves come out and do photosynthesis, taking in carbon dioxide
Carbon dioxide levels increase in the fall
Leaves start to fall
Industrialization
Leads to exponential growth in population
Factors impacting the environment
Population
Affluence (consumption per person)
Destructive technology
IPAT equation
Measures the impact of population, affluence, and destructive technology
Ecological footprint
Measures how much of the earth is needed to support industry
Large economy
Consumes resources and destroys habitat
Small economy in certain countries
Can lead to disease and hunger
Burundi
Population of 9 million, average income of $910 per year, low impact on environment
United Arab Emirates (UAE)
Population of 9 million, average income 50 times higher than Burundi, high impact on environment
Burundi's ecological footprint is less than 1 global hectare per person
UAE's ecological footprint is about 12 times that of Burundi
As countries develop
They move up in development index and across to have a larger ecological footprint
The Earth's biocapacity is 2.1 global hectares per person
Many countries exceed the Earth's biocapacity
Increases in greenhouse gases can cause high extinction rates, especially in areas with many species like Ecuador