since market reforms of deng xiaoping in 1978, in 2015 - IMF raned china as number one economic super power - china produced 17% of world GDP
china's economy overtaken US by purchasing power and due to overtake in absolute terms by 2030
annual growth rates for china have been 8-10% a year for almost 30 years - twice the level for western economies
europe dependent on china's economy, france and german economy
Theme 1: Against
people republic of china's economic strength is far smaller and poorer than Us
china's average income (GDP) is $4,813 and Americas is $54,132 (2021)
tensions between free market economic system and the marxist communist political system
china's large population (1 billion) is the reason for it overtaking USA economy
Theme 2: For - global influence
china has been strengthening its political and economic links with countries such as australia and those in central africa, parts of the middle east and latin america
china recently broke peace deal between saudi arabia and iran - in beijing
grown more assertive globally through its wolf-warrior diplomacy
openly challenges the US economic system
uses trade and economic might to silence critics or harm them if they question it e.g. australia over covid
Theme 2: Against
china remains a poor country with living standards of only 1/5 of america's
china's relative poverty will act as a major constraint on china's capacity to appeal, it's soft power, for several decades
china does not behave in an 'imperial' way in africa and largely ignores the politics of the countries, working with any government
Theme 3: For - military expansion
china has been a nuclear power since 1964 and has the second largest military behind the US
has the largest navy in the world
over 2.3 million in active service with additional 1.1 million as reserves
china converting its economic might into military might, sign of up coming superpower
Theme 3: Against
china does not have same military capabilities
US accounts for 37% of global military spending and spends more than four times what china the world number two spender does
US dominates across land, sea, air and space
china has not fought in any recent wars and does not have the practical experience the US has
US has dozens of military bases in the region, including guam and within japan and south korea