SupplySide 24 stats

Cards (27)

  • Supply side policies are a major Hot Topic area for macro exams this year
  • Supply side policies are often linked to Major themes, maybe UK themes, maybe more General themes
  • You have to be ready regardless of what the question asks you to do
  • This question will help you massively in that regard
  • Make sure you've watched the video on UK stats as a lot of that context will be underlying in this video
  • The presenter will release a fiscal policy themes video and a monetary policy themes video
  • Potential growth has taken a battering in the UK ever since the financial crisis
  • Prior to the financial crisis, the UK's annual potential growth rates were around 2-2.5%
  • From the financial crisis up to covid times, the rate fell to around 1.5%
  • As of now, potential growth annually is around 1%, with some organisations putting it even lower
  • Reasons for the decline in potential growth include poor productivity, shrinking workforce, poor business investment, poor infrastructure, and underperforming public services
  • Supply side policies
    • Interventionist supply side policies
    • Market-based supply side policies
  • Economic inactivity
    People of working age who are either not willing to work, not physically able to work, or not seeking work
  • Economic inactivity rates have risen from around 20% to 22.1% since Covid times
  • Economic inactivity is bad for potential growth and contributes to higher inflation and labour shortages
  • Supply side policies to reduce economic inactivity
    • Government spending on Education and Training
    • Government spending on Healthcare
    • Government spending on Infrastructure
    • Government spending on Child Care
    • Reducing income tax
    • Reducing National Insurance
    • Reducing benefits
  • The UK's natural rate of unemployment is quite low at around 3.5%
  • Types of unemployment in the natural rate
    • Structural
    • Frictional
    • Seasonal
  • Supply side policies to reduce the natural rate of unemployment
    • Government spending on Education and Training
    • Government spending on Infrastructure
    • Reducing income tax
    • Reducing National Insurance
    • Reducing benefits
    • Reducing the strength of trade unions
    • Deregulating hiring and firing
  • There is significant regional inequality in average weekly earnings in the UK
  • Reasons for regional inequality include inequalities in productivity, education, healthcare, public transport, and infrastructure, as well as the changing structure of the UK economy
  • Supply side policies to promote regional growth
    • Government spending on Education and Training
    • Government spending on Healthcare
    • Government spending on Infrastructure
    • Subsidies, grants, and tax credits for businesses
    • Tax incentives for businesses
    • Deregulation
    • Creation of Enterprise Zones
  • Productivity in the UK has been abysmal since the financial crisis
  • The UK's average annual productivity growth rates since the financial crisis have been 0.4%, less than half the rate of the richest 25 countries
  • Low productivity is a major reason for the UK's high current account deficit
  • Supply side policies to boost productivity and improve export competitiveness
    • Government spending on Education and Training
    • Government spending on Healthcare
    • Government spending on Infrastructure
    • Subsidies and grants to firms for investment
    • Lower corporation tax
    • Relaxing immigration controls
    • Reducing minimum wages
    • Reducing the strength of trade unions
    • Competition policies
    • Creation of Enterprise Zones
  • Evaluating supply side policies involves considering their expense, time lags, lack of guarantee of success, negative stakeholder trade-offs, and the need for targeted interventions