250 million years ago, 95% of all marine invertebrates became extinct. Extinction on land effected plant and insect species.
Siberian traps hide a flood basalt which occurred a the same time as the extinction.
The laki eruption in Iceland is a smaller but similar style eruption, it changed the northern hemispheres climate in 1783/4 there was no summer and snow in august. Its used to model impacts of Siberian traps.
10s years is short term and causes volcanic winters leading to cooling.
1000s years is long term and include co2 leading to global warming.
To estimate volume of lava, calculations of CO2 released and then global temp increase are needed. 5ºc cause mild extinctions, 10ºc rise is needed for large mass extinctions.
Greenland has a thick rock sequence spanning Permian-Triassic extinction.
There were 3 phases spanning 80,000 years:
Land extinctions
Abrupt ocean extinctions
Land extinction
There was an increase in carbon-12 on boundary, methane hydrates are rich in carbon-12, if ocean temperatures increase by 5ºc, methane hydrates melt. During the Pe-T extinction enough methane was released to increase temps by 4-5ºC.
There are a number of pyrite sediments due to a lack of oxygen - perhaps due to an increase in temperature. An increase in demand for oxygen due to increased temperatures.
Supercontinent formation may have also contributed to mass extinctions.