Analysis of Terms Of Trade

Cards (13)

  • Improvements in the terms of trade are not always good for a nation, and deteriorations in the terms of trade are not always bad for a nation
  • The terms of trade equation implies that improvements are always good and deteriorations are always bad, but this is a flawed assumption
  • Improvement in terms of trade due to increased demand for exports
    1. Increase in export price
    2. Quantity of exports remains the same
    3. Increase in export revenue
  • Increase in export revenue due to improvement in terms of trade is a good thing for the nation
  • Improvement in terms of trade due to high relative inflation rates
    1. Increase in export prices
    2. Need to consider elasticity of demand for exports
  • Elastic demand for exports
    As export prices increase, export revenue decreases
  • Inelastic demand for exports

    As export prices increase, export revenue increases
  • The terms of trade equation assumes quantity of exports remains the same, which is a flawed assumption
  • Need to consider changes in export quantities and elasticity of demand to determine impact of terms of trade changes
  • Deterioration in terms of trade is not always bad - it could be due to increased productivity and competitiveness, leading to higher export quantities and revenues
  • For developing countries, deterioration in terms of trade can be bad due to the Prebisch-Singer hypothesis
  • The terms of trade metric ignores important factors like changes in export/import quantities and elasticities, which are crucial in determining the impact on the economy
  • Focusing only on terms of trade changes, without considering changes in revenues and expenditures, can lead to incorrect conclusions about the impact on the economy