The study of health and disease in populations, and how these states are influenced by heredity, biology, physical environment, social environment, and ways of living is what
epidemiology
Epidemiologic study requires that disease
be measured quantitatively
EPIDEMIOLOGY
Investigates the factors and conditions that determine the occurrence and distribution of health, disease, defects, disabilities, and deaths among individuals
focus is on the comparison between groups or defined populations
Epidemiologic triangle
Host : Susceptibility and resistance through various processes
Agent : biologic or mechanical means of causing disease, illness, injury or disability.
Environmental : physical, sociocultural, sociopolitical and economic components
5 Characteristics of Epidemiology
Heredity: a person’s genetic makeup
Biology: age, gender, race
Physical environment: sanitation levels, food and water supplies, air quality, occupational hazards, housing quality, neighborhood characteristics
Social environment: educational attainment, cultural beliefs and practices, neighborhood quality
Systematic review - all previously published research that fit into the precise research question - good for EBDM
Systematic review with the addition of a meta analysis-combination of all results using statistical methods to come up with new information - best for EBDM
Sources of literature
Primary sources - original reports of new information, original thinking, a new discovery
Secondary sources - interpretations of primary sources, use evidence already provided or given - no new evidence
Tertiary sources - summarization of primary and secondary sources
Three Main Types of Epidemiology study
Observational
Analytic
Experimental
Types of epidemiology study
Observational/Descriptive
involves description, documentation, analysis and interpretation of data to evaluate a current event or situation
incidence – # new cases in defined period
prevalence - # persons affected by condition at any one time
count – sum of disease
proportion – count, denominator to determine prevalence
rate – count per time dimension
Types of epidemiology study
Observational approaches
Cohort - one group observed over time longitudinal/prospective
Case control - two groups compared
Cross sectional-one point in time cross-sectional rather than longitudinal
Types of epidemiology study
Analytical
determines the cause of disease or if a causal relationship exists between a factor and a disease
prospective – pop thru time
cohort – group with defined characteristic, observed over time
retrospective – uses observations or data collected in the past
cross-sectional – looks at a phenomenon at one pt in time
longitudinal – same group over extended time
Types of epidemiology study
Experimental
used when etiology of the disease is established and the researcher wishes to determine the effectiveness of altering some factor or factors; deliberate application or withholding of the supposed cause of a condition and observation of the result
Clinical trials as an example
Highest level of study designs
Types of epidemiology study
Experimental
Pretest-posttest design: measure the dependent variable before and after treatment intervention
Repeated measures design: dependent variable measured several times to see if independent variable effect on dependent variable persists
Cross over design: all groups receive the same treatments but in different orders after a washout period
Split Mouth design: assignment of equivalent pairs (experimental and control)
Variables
Definition: a characteristic that varies within the population under study.
Independent variable: manipulated by the researcher to determine effect
Dependent variable: thought to be dependent on the independent variable
Relevant variable: The confounding variable needs to be controlled by the researcher
Extraneous variable: confounding variable not controlled in a study
Collecting Data
Need to review the relevant available literature
Literature review may help to bring the topic into sharper focus
The researcher can design a study to evaluate the idea by emulating the research designs previously used
Researcher will plan how the study will be conducted and how the data will be collected
It is important during data collection that everything is calibrated, has validity and interrater & intrarater reliability
Validity
The results of study accurately represent that presence or absence of the variable being studied. It studies what it intended to study. Accuracy.
Internal validity: technique being tested is responsible for the results being reported-not by another external factor
External validity: can the study be generalized to other situations and people? How well does the sample represent the population.
Reliability
Intraexaminer (intrarater) reliability
each examiner is scoring equivalently time & time again; “extent to which the same investigator remains consistent in scoring techniques when using a data collection instrument”; requires training & experience
Reliability
Interexaminer (interater) reliability
consistency exists between examiners; “degree to which different investigators can obtain the same results when using the data collection instrumentation on a population”; examiners must have an initial & continued agreement on the interpretation of evaluative criteria; training with repeated use of the dental index on subjects is required to achieve reliability
Intraexaminer Reliability
Based on the assumption that the index is inherently reproducible, the ability of an examiner to record the same conditions the same way over time is defined as intraexaminer reliability.
For example, the examiner records conditions in a group of 10 -20 persons and then repeats the process a few hours to a few days later. It is long enough for the examiners memory to fade however a short enough time for the condition to remain the same
Interexaminer Reliability
Two or more examiners are in agreement. It requires initial agreement on interpretation of diagnostic criteria, then a period of training with repeated patient examinations to ensure that examiners’ judgment are comparable
Collecting Data
Need to identify the characteristics of the group involved in the study
Population: the entire group or whole unit of individuals with similar characteristics ~ may be very small or very large
Also known as the target population
To take a portion of the population is called sampling
Different techniques are used to choose the sample
Sampling Techniques
Sample – “a portion of population that, if properly selected, can provide meaningful information about the entire population”
“a sample is examined when the researcher has neither the time, money, nor the resources to study an entire population.”
a sample may be random or nonrandom and may be representative or non-representative of a population
Collecting Data
Random sampling provides the most external validity~each member has an equal chance of being selected
Case Study of 1939 US presidential election between Roosevelt and Landon.
When a random sample may not accurately assess the problem, a random selection of subjects from 2 or more strata of the population may be needed ~ Stratified sampling
Collecting Data
Systemic sampling involves the selection of subjects by including every nth person on a list ~ may not be considered a true random sample
Purposive sampling and convenience sampling may introduce bias
Convenience Sample
“used when access to the total population is not feasible; members of the available sample are numbered consecutively, and a table of random numbers is used for experimental and control group assignment.”
Random Sample
“a sample composed of subjects who are chosen independently of each other, with known opportunity or probability for inclusion; increases external validity; controls inter-subject differences”
Satisfies the concept of EPSEM for sample selection (Equal Probability of Selection of Every Member)
Nonrandomized Sample
“sample that is not randomly selected from a general population, therefore making generalizations to a larger population invalid, for example, convenience sample or intact groups; threatens external validity”
Uses of Epidemiology
observe interactions among factors that affect disease or health status
evaluate risk factors – attributes that increase the likelihood of developing a particular disease or negative health condition in the future
develop preventive interventions – strategies to eliminate risk factors and to reduce occurrence of disease
Qualitative research
Relies on language rather than on numbers
Used when numbers cannot explain or describe the concept/question
Methods used include interviews, focus groups, surveys, manuscripts, narratives
Quantitative research
Relies on numbers to answer the concept/question
Data is collected and analyzed by applying statistics
Table 7.1 French Beatty contrasts qualitative versus quantitative research methods
Measuring Oral Diseases
Dental Caries Indices
DMFT
deft
RCI
Gingivitis Indices
GI
Periodontal disease indices
PDI
CPITN
Oral hygiene indices
OHI-S
Dental fluorosis
Deans classification for fluorosis
Index
Is a numerical scale with upper and lower limits, with scores on the scale corresponding to specific criteria.
Any form of disease quantification, including proportions and rates
Dental Index
abbreviated measurement of the amount or condition of disease in a population
graduated numerical scale with defined upper and lower limits designed to facilitate comparison with other populations classified by the same criteria and methods
aids in collection of data
Irreversible Index
Is one that measures cumulative conditions that cannot be reversed: dental caries
measures cumulative conditions that cannot be reversed
e.g. dental caries
Reversible Index
Gingivitis indices are examples of reversible indices since gingivitis is a reversible inflammatory condition. measures a condition that can be reversed
e.g., gingivitis is reversible
Properties of an ideal index
Validity
measures what it is intended to measure
Reliability
measures consistently at different times; reproducibility, stability of measurement
Clear, simple and objective
Reproducible
Sensitive to shifts in disease in either direction
Acceptable to subjects involved
Amenable to statistical analysis
Clinically significant and meaningful
Properties of an ideal index
Validity: The index must measure what it is intended to measure, so it should correspond with the clinical stages of the disease under study at each point.
Reliability: The index should be able to measure consistently at different times and under a variety of conditions. The term reliability is virtually synonymous with reproducibility, repeatability, and consistency, meaning the ability of the same or different examiners to interpret and use the index in the same way.
Properties of an Ideal Index
Clarity, simplicity, and objectivity. The criteria should be clear and unambiguous, with mutually exclusive categories. Ideally, they should be readily memorized by an examiner after some practice.
Quantifiability. The index must be amenable to statistical analysis, so that the status of a group can be expressed by a distribution, mean, median, or other statistical measure
Properties of an Ideal Index
Sensitivity. The index should be able to detect reasonably small shifts, in either direction, in the condition.
Acceptability. The use of the index should not be painful or demeaning to the subject
Negative Reversal
Occasionally seen in longitudinal studies in clinical trials.
Is a change of diagnosis in an illogical direction over a period of time long enough for real change to have taken place.
Diagnosis of borderline lesions as caries inevitably results in some degree of negative reversals, so reversals are an inherent part of any clinical trial.
Consistency of the examiner will ensure that the negative reversals will be balanced by positive reversals.
negative reversal
reversal
change in diagnosis in an illogical direction over a period of time long enough for real change to have taken place