Freud, a neurologist by education, aimed for psychology as an experimental science, provided with those empirical correlations that a neuroscientist might wish for.
Freud was a positivist and believed on the criteria of justification, but soon discovered that neurological explanations of hysterical symptoms turned out to be unsatisfying.
Popper linked the critique to psychoanalysis to the issue of the demarcation principle (i.e., falsifiability), asking if these theories are scientific or pseudo-scientific.
Popper demonstrated that inductivism cannot be properly justified, and that the method of psychoanalysis is inductive, which is why he was very critical towards it.
Eliminative inductivism states that when the aim is controlling a causal link between two variables, it is necessary to take into account a mixture of positive and negative cases.
Grunbaum considers psychoanalysis as a “bad science”, a discipline which is in principles falsifiable, which make use of induction, another scientific theory, but it doesn’t work so well.
In the case of mister smith’s missed pregnancy, it is possible that other factors may be responsible in determining symptoms’ remission, such as placebo effect or the simple fact that Mr Smith is male and males can’t get pregnant.
Grunbaum aims at two targets: rejecting the tally argument formulated by Freud and supporting the central role of (eliminative) inductivism in science, against Popper.
If paranoid delusions are found without any sign of repressed homosexuality, this will be a kind of falsification and psychoanalysis will be falsifiable.
Grunbaum rigorizes the Freudian argument by identifying two hypotheses linked by a probatory relation: Therapeutic hypothesis T: the cathartic process of repression’s alleviation related to traumatic memories is causally relevant for symptoms to disappear and Etiological hypothesis E: a current repression, associated with affect suppression, is causally necessary for the initial pathogenesis and for the conservation of a neurosis.
Freud argues that the therapeutic success of the free association method is fundamental in order to guarantee the correctness of our method as being able to provide a causal confirmation in etiological research in psychopathology.