In 1954, most non-communists with leadership qualities had been killed by the French or VM, or had become politically inactive. Diem was appointed in a leadership vacuum.
Diem rejected Geneva’s nationwide elections as he knew Ho would win. Turned to the US for support who pledged their aid.
The Eisenhower admin urged Diem to implement land reform, but MAAG’s military solutions dominated US assistance to Diem.
Washington nearly withdrew support for Diem but were encouraged by his demonstration of political skill when outmanoeuvring Bao Dai and other opponents in spring1955.
Oct 1955 - Diem held an election in SV. Those voting for Bao Dai were punished and Diem claimed 98.2% of the vote, rejecting US advice that 60-70% was more credible.
American increasing aid for Diem:
hundreds of millions of dollars
advice on politics, land reform and covert operations against the VM
transportation of around a million mostly middle-class, educated and Catholic Vietnamese from the N to the S
Diem’s family dominated government. His brother Ngo Dinh Nhu and wife Madame Nhu wielded considerable power.
Diem’s unpopularity:
Favoured catholic wealthy landowners
promised land reform programme but was uncommitted - in Long An, fewer than 1000 of 35,000 tenants received property
angered peasants by demanding payment for land VM had previously given them for free
disliked meeting his people
Failings of NV regime:
liquidated thousands of landlords, opponents and even loyal VM by mistake
when the PAVN put down a revolt in 1956, 6000 peasants were killed or deported
Public support for Ho:
regime appeared egalitarian and free from foreign domination
many southerners remained quietly loyal after 1954 division
Ho discouraged southern supporters from attacking Diem’s regime from 1955-59 as he wanted to be seen abiding by Geneva.
Hanoi’s conservatism after Geneva gave Diem the chance to arrest and execute many southern communist activists, whose numbers dropped from 10,000 in 1955 to 2000 in 1959.
Diem’s persecution of southern communists after Geneva forced them into open revolt. By 1960, Hanoi had decided to support liberation of the South.
The Ho Chi Minh Trail was a supply route going south from NV through Cambodia and Laos to SV, over which men and supplies could be transported.
From 1960, Southern supporters of Ho called themselves the NationalLiberationFront(NLF), but Diem called them the VietCong(VC). The NLF organised itself into the People’s Liberation Armed Forces (PLAF).
Diem responded to rising disruption cause by the NLF by relocating peasants to agrovilles - army-protected villages. Peasants hated forced, expensive removals from their homes, lands and sacred ancestral tombs.
1960 - the US ambassador recommended Diem introduce social and political reform as opposed to military force, but MAAG disagreed.
Eisenhower had given Diem around $7 billion by 1961.
Even Diem’s own ARVN unsuccessfully rebelled against him in 1960.