A sample selected from the population by a process that ensures that: The rules of probability apply to the sample, The sample is representative of the population
Ways of Random Sampling
Randomly generated numbers to choose a sample
Dividing a population into groups with similar attributes
Dividing a population into groups, or clusters
Types of Random Sampling
Simple Random Sampling
Stratified Random Sampling
Cluster Random Sampling
Systematic Random Sampling
Systematic Random Sampling
Sample every k'th element
Sampling with Replacement
Method of sampling in which each member of the population selected for the sample is returned to the population before the next member is selected
Sampling without Replacement
Method of sampling in which the members of the sample are not returned to the population before subsequent members are selected
Probability
The likelihood of a particular event of interest occurring
Viewpoints of Probability
A Priori (Theoretical/Classical)
A Posteriori (Empirical)
Probability is usually represented as a fraction or as a decimal and ranges from 0.00 to 1.00 (proportion)
Addition Rule
p(A or B) = p(A) + p(B) - p(A and B) for events that are not mutually exclusive, p(A or B) = p(A) + p(B) for events that are mutually exclusive
Multiplication Rule
p(A and B) = p(A)p(B) for independent events, p(A and B) = p(A)p(B|A) for dependent events
Mutually Exclusive Events
Both cannot occur together or if the occurrence of one precludes the occurrence of the other
Mutually Exclusive Events
The probability of randomly picking a 10 or a 4 in one draw from a deck of ordinary playing cards
Mutually Exclusive Events
The probability of rolling a 1 and an even number in a fair dice
Not Mutually Exclusive Events
The probability of occurrence of A plus the probability of occurrence of B minus the probability of occurrence of both A and B
Not Mutually Exclusive Events
The probability of getting an ace or a club in one draw on a deck of cards
With Replacement
The probability of getting an ace on two consecutive draws if you were to place the card back into the deck
Independent Events
The probability of rolling "snake eyes" (one on die 1 and one on die 2) in a pair of fair dice
Independent Events
The probability of rolling both odd numbers in a pair of fair dice
The probability of rolling both odd numbers in a pair of fair dice is 3/6*3/6 = 9/36 or 0.25
Independent Events
The probability of selecting a color blind male participant if you were to select 15 from a total population of 300 males (sampling with replacement)
Color Blindness happens every 1 in 12 males
Multiplication Rule without Replacement
p(A and B) = p(A)p(B|A), the probability of occurrence of A times the probability of occurrence of B given A has occurred
Without Replacement
The probability of getting an ace on two consecutive draws (sample without replacement)
Independent Events
The probability of hitting the jackpot in the 6-58 lottery