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Experimental Design
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Elise Stewart
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independent
data points
data values of an individual which are unaffected by data values of another individual
issue
with
pseudo-replication
statistical tests generally
assume data point is independent
, will give you
false
positive/
negative
results
What considerations, if any, should limit the number of
additional “explanatory variables”
you collect in practice?
Practicality of measuring/mitigating/removing explanatory variable.
Remove
if possible, measure if not.
Money
/
time
/
resources
might prevent
limiting
explanatory
variables
Minimise
random variation
lab
engineered organisms, same species/population/sex/age/genetics
disadvantages of removing all random variation
natural
biology full of random variation, removal reduces application of results in
real world
, results not representative of oopulation
relationship between amount of random variation in data set and magnitude of residual sum
of
squares (RSS)
larger RSS means
increased
amount of random variation, in relation to explained sum of
squares
what
does the size of RSS relative to ESS tell you how well your model explains data
larger
RSS and smaller ESS, model does
not
explain data well
hypothesis
clearly stated postulated description of how an
experimental system
works
null hypothesis
no relation between
explanatory
and
response
variables
alternative
hypothesis
relation between explanatory and response variables, can be
directional
null hypothesis
rejected
and
alternative accepted
p<
0.05
manipulative
study
experimenter alters aspect of experimental system then studies effect of
change
correlational study
no
alter
in experimental system, makes use of naturally occurring variation to look at
effect
of one factor on another
disadvantages of manipulative study
unethical
, doesnt represent
population
, doesnt take into account natural
variants
, not always possible/practical
advantages of manipulative study
takes into account
random
variables, easy to
observe
disadvantages
of correlation study
confounding variables, ethics, endangered species, tarnish environment
advantages
of correlational study
natural variation, realistic, representative of population, can look at longevity,
cheaper
, can be more
practical
why
are you at greater risk of drawing the wrong conclusions about your hypothesis if your study uses a small sample size
results may be as a result of
random
variation, outcome may be down to
chance
, outlier can have greater effect on mean
effect of large sample size on stats
more measurements and calculate mean removes random variation, less likely to incorrectly accept/reject null hypothesis
haphazard selection
no
systematic
method or
randomisation
, easily accessible/convenient
self
-selection
individuals volunteer to participate, introduces
bias
random selection
individuals chosen entirely by
chance
, each member of population has
equal
opportunity to be selected
pseudoreplication
replicates
are not
independent
of oneanother
confounding
variables
third-variables affect
dependent
variable but
not
part of model
cohort
effect
outcomes of study influenced by specific
characteristics
of data pool
why does precision of estimate improve as sample size increases
cancels some of the
random
variation and
decreases
standard error
what limits the total sample size
money
,
time
, availability, resources
false positive
type I error
type
I error
explanatory variable has
no
effect on response, but
statistical
test mistakingly suggests there is
type
II error
statistical test fails to detect the
explanatory
variable has an
effect
on the response
false negative
type II error
power
probability that a particular experiment will detect an effect, probabiliyu of not making a type
II
error
longitudinal
study
data collected with from same subjects
repeatedly
over a period of time
cross
-sectional studies
capture data at a
single
point in time
advantages of longitudinal study
observe how variables evolve, determine patterns of
change
, assess
cause-and-effect
relationships over time
within subjects
experimental subjects experiences different experimental treatments sequentially;
comparisons
being made on the same individual at
different
time
advantages
of
within
subjects
less variation, removes confounding variables, cleaner results, removes random variation, requires smaller sample size
why
is
within-subjects
not pseudoreplication
different response
and
explanatory
variable measures
within subjects disadvantages
period effects
, carry over effects, time consuming,
ethical considerations
period
effects
time could
be confounding factor
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