The study of how much disease occurs in a population and the factors that determine differences in disease occurrence between populations
Numerator
The number of people from the study population in whom the disease occurs
Denominator
The number of people in a study population
Age standardisation
The process of converting the different age structures into a standard population age structure and work out the death rates
Crude Death Rate
The number of people who die from the disease / the size of the study population
Age Specific Death Rate
Comparing the deaths rates from the same age groups within the population
GATE frame and PECOT
Participant Population (triangle)
Exposure and Comparison groups (circle)
Outcomes (square)
Time (horizontal and vertical arrows)
Incidence
Measured when the number of disease events that occur are counted forward from a starting point, over a period of time
Prevalence
Measured when the number of people with disease are counted at one point in time
Risk Ratio (RR)
EGO ÷ CGO
Relative Risk Reduction (RRR)
( 1 - RR ) x 100
Relative Risk Increase (RRI)
( RR - 1 ) x 100
Risk Difference (RD)
EGO - CGO
Absolute Risk Reduction (ARR)
If the risk is lower in the Exposure Group
Absolute Risk Increase (ARI)
If the risk is higher in the Exposure Group
Non-random error
Recruitment error
Allocation error
Maintenance error
Blind and Objective Measurement error
Analyses
Random error
Random sampling error
Random measurement error
Randomness in biological phenomena
Random allocation error
95% confidence intervals
Provides a range of values that is likely to include the true value in the total population
If the CIs for EGO and CGO do not overlap, it is reasonable to assume that EGO and CGO are statistically significantly different in the total population
If the CIs for EGO and CGO do overlap, the study is unable to determine if EGO and CGO are statistically significantly different in the total population
If RD does not cross the no effect line, it is statistically significant in the total population
If RD does cross the no effect line, the study is unable to determine if RD is statistically significant in the total population
Meta-analyses
Where four or more similar studies are combined mathematically to produce a summary estimate of the effect
Experimental studies
Participants are allocated to Exposure Group or Comparison Group by the investigators
Observational studies
Participants are allocated to Exposure Group and Comparison Group by measurement
Longitudinal studies
Participants are followed over time, outcomes are usually measured as they occur during the follow up period
Cross-sectional studies
Participants are allocated to Exposure Group and Comparison Group by measurement, at the same time as the outcome is measured
Cohort studies
Investigators measure the presence (or absence) of study exposures among the participants and allocate them in Exposure Group and Comparison Group accordingly, participants are followed over time and outcomes are counted
Cross-sectional studies
Exposure Group and Comparison Group status and disease outcomes are measured cross-sectionally at the same point in time
Randomised controlled trials
Similar to cohort studies, except participants are randomly allocated to Exposure Group and Comparison Group
Prevalence
Measures the proportion of a population with a disease or condition
Cohort studies
Investigate associations between exposures and outcomes
Can find an association that isn't real (Reverse Causality)
Not a good study design for investigating causal associations
Randomised controlled trials
Participants are randomly allocated to Experimental Group and Control Group
Main measure of disease occurrence is incidence
Less prone to confounding due to randomisation
Most valid study design for assessing the effectiveness of interventions
Can have practical and ethical limitations
Ecological studies
Involve the comparison of groups of populations rather than individuals
Can be cohort or cross-sectional
Results are often plotted on a graph
Can sometimes be RCTs
Useful for investigating risk factor and intervention effects
Very prone to confounding and it is seldom possible to adjust for confounders
Useful when almost everyone in a population is exposed to a factor
Causes of the causes
The reasons that cause people to participate in certain behaviours. They may vary at different life stages and include individual, community and environmental factors.
Dahlgren and Whitehead model
Three levels of influence: The Person, The Community, The Environment
Factors at each level can be risk or protective factors
Factors at different levels interact and influence each other
Four Social Capitals
Natural capital
Social capital
Human capital
Financial/Physical capital
Upstream interventions
Interventions that operate at the distal (macro) level such as government policies and international trade agreements
Downstream interventions
Interventions that operate at the proximal (micro) level which includes treatments, disease management or behavioural factors
Structure
Social and physical environmental conditions/patterns (social determinants) that influence the choices and opportunities available